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The COBRA Coefficient

Base Data

COBRA COEFFICIENT COBRA ASSUMPTIONS COBRA DATA

 
 

1st January 2009
Base = 100

 09/04/2009 INDEX
Euro 1.038 1.113 107.2
Dollar 1.462 1.466 100.3
Vacancies ('000) 562 482 85.8
House Price Index 264.7 246.0 92.9
FTSE 100 4434 3984 89.8
Retail Sales Index 140.1 141.3 100.9
Base Rate % 2.0 0.5 400.0
Unemployment (m) 1.86 2.03 91.6
Oil price $ 42.66 53.2 81.7
CPI (inflation) 4.1 3.2 128.1
AVERAGE     127.8
     

For the first six items an increase in the value is "good", leading to an increase in the value of the index. This is calculated by expressing the base value as a percentage of the latest value. The remaining four items, shown in green, are "good" when they decline. To show this, the index for these factors is calculated by reversing the calculation and dividing the base value by the latest value. See Assumptions for more information.

Comprehensive data and charts will shortly be available for download.

   

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